Thursday, November 29, 2012

oil and gas

well worth looking at the charts.
forget the politics or the stock picking....
it is very interesting.

mike

http://pro.stansberryresearch.com/1210THIRDLIA/LPSINBJB/

Thursday, August 9, 2012

deflationary or hyperinflationary depression?

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article35816.html

quite brilliant. in either case he forecasts a depression.
i believe that there are several other non-monetary factors that could
lead to intermediate term problems.
(assuming "free" energy does not arrive in time).

http://www.garynorth.com/

i think he has a few minor issues to explain.

Stanley Fischer said it correctly.
central banks are not worried about inflation. they know how to deal
with it. they just raise interest rates....
but, it is not clear that the politicians will allow it!

in principle the fed is independent. but laws can change, especially in
the face of crisis.

Monday, July 23, 2012

roubini

http://www.moneynews.com/StreetTalk/Roubini-US-Stocks-fed/2012/07/20/id/446052%20?s=al&promo_code=F890-1

remarkable that he does not mention the consequences of an obama/romney
election...
is everybody numbed!

Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Re: cost of gold

thoughts?

do not show this to your gold bug friends.

it will be very upsetting.

Saturday, March 31, 2012

carry trade

http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/education/learn_forex/using_dailyfx/fundamentals/2010-01-19-2142-Understanding_Foreign_Exchange_Rollover.html

correlations

http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/forex_correlations/2012/03/27/forex_correlations_australian_dollar_us_dollar.html

Forex Correlations Summary

View forex correlations to the SPDR Gold ETF Trust (GLD), United States Oil Fund ETF (USO), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA), UK FTSE 100 Index, and IShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV) prices.

GLD

EURUSD

GBPUSD

USDJPY

AUDUSD

USDCAD

NZDUSD

USDOLLAR

1 Week

0.92

0.94

0.30

0.97

-0.92

0.92

-0.91

1 Month

0.60

0.27

-0.18

0.50

-0.22

0.48

-0.59

3 Month

0.44

0.27

-0.21

0.47

-0.23

0.43

-0.52

1 Year

0.18

0.19

-0.13

0.25

-0.19

0.24

-0.27









USO

EURUSD

GBPUSD

USDJPY

AUDUSD

USDCAD

NZDUSD

USDOLLAR

1 Week

0.55

0.65

-0.01

0.89

-0.65

0.91

-0.82

1 Month

0.39

0.61

0.14

0.61

-0.58

0.60

-0.48

3 Month

0.40

0.41

0.15

0.46

-0.49

0.48

-0.40

1 Year

0.50

0.39

0.03

0.64

-0.60

0.56

-0.53









DIA

EURUSD

GBPUSD

USDJPY

AUDUSD

USDCAD

NZDUSD

USDOLLAR

1 Week

0.87

0.95

0.57

0.85

-0.96

0.81

-0.71

1 Month

0.30

0.50

0.48

0.59

-0.64

0.54

-0.31

3 Month

0.42

0.47

0.27

0.61

-0.66

0.49

-0.44

1 Year

0.64

0.55

-0.06

0.80

-0.82

0.75

-0.69









FTSE100

EURUSD

GBPUSD

USDJPY

AUDUSD

USDCAD

NZDUSD

USDOLLAR

1 Week

0.77

0.91

0.30

0.92

-0.93

0.86

-0.83

1 Month

0.44

0.57

0.37

0.70

-0.71

0.65

-0.46

3 Month

0.40

0.39

0.11

0.62

-0.64

0.60

-0.45

1 Year

0.46

0.38

-0.01

0.70

-0.66

0.65

-0.57









SLV

EURUSD

GBPUSD

USDJPY

AUDUSD

USDCAD

NZDUSD

USDOLLAR

1 Week

0.81

0.90

0.30

0.98

-0.89

0.98

-0.88

1 Month

0.59

0.42

-0.12

0.67

-0.50

0.63

-0.65

3 Month

0.55

0.45

-0.17

0.63

-0.49

0.56

-0.64

1 Year

0.33

0.30

-0.08

0.41

-0.37

0.37

-0.40









Perfect Positive Correlation:

1.00




Perfect Negative Correlation:

-1.00

Saturday, March 10, 2012

Tuesday, January 3, 2012

shilling recession

http://www.moneynews.com/Headline/Shilling-Recession-US/2012/01/03/id/422815?s=al&promo_code=DD40-1

thus let obama sit in the white house and stew.

a republican in the wh will get terrific heat.

hopefully a republican congress will keep obama under control and will
confront the moslem brotherhood threats.